TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 10:08 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Cody Whipple will secure the Republican Party nomination for Nevada's 4th congressional district House seat in 2026. On Kalshi, Whipple holds 89.0% probability, while Ronda Kennedy stands at 11.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official Republican Party nominee announcement for the 2026 NV-04 House race. Watch the Republican primary process and candidate endorsements leading up to the November 3, 2026 general election date.
The NV-04 Republican nominee market resolves on Nov 3, 2026, coinciding with the general election date. Resolution is determined by the official Republican nominee for Nevada's 4th congressional district, as certified by the Nevada Secretary of State or equivalent authoritative source. The market will settle based on who is formally designated as the Republican nominee at the time of the general election, reflecting the outcome of primary elections, conventions, or other nomination processes that occur before that date.
Key events that could shift NV-04 Republican nominee odds include candidate announcements or withdrawals, primary election results, major endorsements from party leaders or national figures, and fundraising milestones. Campaign scandals, debate performances, and shifts in district demographics or voter sentiment tracked through local polling can also move prices. National political developments affecting the Republican Party's direction may influence nominee prospects. Media coverage of candidate viability, organizational strength, and electability assessments will likely drive trader activity. Unexpected developments in the district or candidate circumstances could trigger sharp repricing before the Nov 3, 2026 resolution.