TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Number of Elon Musk tweets Sep 14th - Sep 21st 2026
predict

How many tweets will Elon Musk post?

Volume:
$0

0-99

 - Predict

0-99 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

0-99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

100-199

View
N/A
N/A
—
$990
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

200-299

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

300-399

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

400-499

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

500+

View
N/A
N/A
—
$99
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Sep 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Sep 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Sep 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Sep 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Elon Musk tweet count tracks the current odds of various outcomes for the number of tweets he will post between September 14th and September 21st, 2026. You can view the price history, which shows how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour volume, currently at $0. The total volume for this market is $0. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and see which outcomes are currently favored by traders.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds offered in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as predicting tweet counts is not a common practice for financial or political analysts. However, one could compare the implied probability of Elon Musk tweeting a high volume to general expectations of his social media activity based on historical trends. If analysts predict increased engagement from him during that period, it might align with higher probabilities for a greater tweet count within this market. It’s important to remember that prediction markets reflect the wisdom of the crowd, while analyst forecasts represent individual opinions.

On Predict, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific tweet count range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, as indicated by trader activity, is for Elon Musk to tweet between 0 and 99 times during the specified period.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of tweets posted by Elon Musk on X (formerly Twitter) between September 14th and September 21st, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will be determined by an independent verification of his official X account activity during that timeframe. The market will settle based on the verified tweet count, with the outcome corresponding to the range that includes the actual number of tweets.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Major announcements from Tesla or SpaceX, significant personal events involving Elon Musk, or changes to his social media habits could all shift trader sentiment. Increased or decreased public attention on Musk, or controversies surrounding his online activity, could also play a role. Any news that alters perceptions of his likely engagement on X during the specified period is likely to move the odds in this market, potentially leading to significant volume changes.