TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 22nd - Jun 29th 2026
predict

Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 22nd - Jun 29th 2026

Volume:
$2,269

100-199

 - Predict

100-199 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

100-199

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

300-399

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$876
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

200-299

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

400-499

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

500+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

The Elon Musk tweet volume market dashboard on Predict tracks real-time odds and historical price movement for predictions about how many times Elon Musk will post on X during the week of June 22–29, 2026. The interface displays the leading outcome—whether his tweet count will fall between 100 and 199—alongside 24-hour trading volume and current implied probability. This market lets traders express conviction about Musk's social media activity during a specific seven-day window, with odds updating as new information and trading flow arrive.

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs and real-money incentives, often diverging from traditional analyst estimates or media commentary. While analysts might forecast Musk's tweet frequency based on historical patterns or seasonal trends, this market prices in live sentiment and breaking developments. The gap between market-implied odds and expert predictions can signal either market inefficiency or information advantage held by active traders. Comparing the two reveals whether consensus leans bullish or bearish on high tweet volume during late June 2026.

On Predict, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The leading outcome—tweets between 100 and 199—carries an implied probability that shifts with every trade. Prices reflect the collective judgment of all participants; as conviction grows around a particular range, odds move accordingly. Traders profit by correctly predicting which bracket Musk's actual tweet count will land in by the market's close.

This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the seven-day observation period ends and Musk's tweet count can be verified. The outcome is determined by comparing his actual number of posts on X during June 22–29, 2026 against the specified ranges. Verification occurs through credible public sources and historical X data. Whichever bracket his final tally falls into becomes the winning outcome, and traders holding shares in that outcome receive their payout.

Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. Major news involving Musk—product launches, regulatory developments, or personal announcements—often triggers spikes in his posting frequency. Platform changes to X itself, such as algorithm updates or feature rollouts, may influence his engagement. Market sentiment around Tesla, SpaceX, or his other ventures can correlate with tweet volume. Additionally, any public statements Musk makes about his social media habits, or shifts in his communication strategy, could prompt traders to reassess their positions and move prices.