TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 20th - Jul 27th 2026
predict

How many tweets will Elon Musk post from Jul 20-27, 2026?

Volume:
$725

200-299

 - Predict

200-299 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

200-299

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$2,016
$124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

100-199

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$1,858
$274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

300-399

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$119
$211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

0-99

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$20
$116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

400-499

View
N/A
N/A
—
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

500+

View
N/A
N/A
—
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the Elon Musk tweet volume market dashboard monitors real-time odds and trading activity for a specific prediction: the number of tweets Elon Musk will post during the week of July 20–27, 2026. The interface displays current market pricing, historical price movements, and 24-hour volume data to help traders assess consensus expectations around his social media activity during that period. This dashboard lets you track how market sentiment evolves as the event date approaches and compare different outcome ranges traders are pricing in.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders who profit or lose based on accuracy, creating a financial incentive to forecast honestly. Analyst forecasts, by contrast, often rely on historical averages or qualitative judgment without direct financial consequences. For this market, traders are pricing in their collective estimate of Elon Musk's tweet frequency during that specific week. Comparing the odds here to public analyst commentary or historical tweet-rate studies can reveal whether markets are pricing in expectations above or below conventional estimates, offering a useful reality check on consensus views.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different outcome ranges. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The leading outcome currently reflects trader consensus on the most likely tweet volume bracket. Prices move in real time as new trades arrive, so the odds you see represent the marginal trader's belief at that moment. Higher prices indicate stronger market confidence in a given outcome; lower prices suggest traders view that outcome as less probable.

This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, once the event window closes and the final tweet count can be verified. The outcome is determined by counting Elon Musk's tweets posted during July 20–27, 2026, and matching that total against the outcome ranges offered in this market. Verification occurs through credible public sources that track his social media activity. Traders who selected the correct range receive their payout; all other positions expire worthless.

Several factors could shift odds before Jul 27, 2026. Major news events involving Elon Musk—product launches, regulatory developments, or public statements—often trigger changes in his tweeting frequency and could prompt traders to reprice their expectations. Seasonal patterns in his social media behavior, shifts in his business priorities, or platform policy changes might also influence volume. Additionally, as the resolution date approaches and traders gain more recent data on his typical weekly tweet counts, the market may converge toward a narrower consensus. Early trading activity and large positions can also signal informed traders' views and move prices.