TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 3rd - Aug 10th 2026
predict

Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 3rd - Aug 10th 2026

Volume:
$1,568

100-199

 - Predict

100-199 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

100-199

View
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$396
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

0-99

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$30
$1,536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

300-399

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$4
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

500+

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$1
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

200-299

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$4
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

400-499

N/A
N/A
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the Elon Musk tweet count market dashboard displays real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $1,536. It shows how traders on Predict are betting on the number of tweets Elon Musk will post during the specified week. The interface updates continuously to reflect the latest market sentiment and activity for this specific prediction, allowing users to monitor fluctuations and trends as the event approaches.

Currently, prediction market odds imply a range of outcomes for how frequently Elon Musk might tweet during the week. These odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders on Predict, who weigh various factors including recent activity patterns and potential news events. Analyst forecasts, meanwhile, may focus on different metrics such as historical averages or expected product announcements. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is more bullish or bearish than expert predictions, providing insight into public sentiment versus informed analysis for this market.

This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of Elon Musk’s tweets during the specified dates will settle all positions, reflecting the actual activity on his official account over that exact timeframe. Traders should monitor verified platforms closely as the resolution date approaches to ensure accurate reporting.

Several signals could influence this market before it settles. Any major announcement, product launch, or controversy involving Elon Musk may increase his likelihood of tweeting more frequently. Conversely, a quiet period or reduced public engagement could push expectations downward. Additionally, broader social media trends, platform algorithm changes, or even scheduled content drops may cause traders to adjust their positions, impacting odds and volume on Predict as the week progresses.