TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 17th - Aug 24th 2026
predict

Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 17th - Aug 24th 2026

Volume:
$501

300-399

 - Predict

300-399 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

300-399

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$1,739
$300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

100-199

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$31
$201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

0-99

N/A
N/A
—
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

200-299

N/A
N/A
—
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

400-499

N/A
N/A
—
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

500+

N/A
N/A
—
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the Elon Musk tweet count market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $300. This visualization shows how traders on Predict are betting on the range of tweets Elon Musk will post during the specified week, offering a dynamic view of market sentiment and activity around the short_topic.

Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that are often more aggressive or speculative than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts typically weigh historical tweet patterns, scheduled events, and content pipelines, while prediction markets incorporate real-time sentiment and breaking news. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is pricing in higher volatility or unexpected catalysts beyond typical projections.

This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The exact tweet count posted by Elon Musk during the defined period will be tallied and matched against the market’s defined ranges, determining which bucket — from zero tweets to several hundred — is the correct resolution.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes: major product launches, geopolitical commentary, or unexpected personal activities by Elon Musk that spur tweeting sprees. Additionally, platform-wide trends like heightened social media usage during holidays or global events may influence expectations. Any announcement of scheduled appearances, interviews, or live engagements could also cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess likely tweet volumes.