TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Number of CZ tweets Sep 14th - Sep 21st 2026
predict

How many tweets will CZ post?

Volume:
$3

0-5

 - Predict

0-5 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

0-5

View
1%
49%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

6-10

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

11-15

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

16-20

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

21-25

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

26-30

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

31-35

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

36-40

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

41+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Sep 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Sep 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Sep 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Sep 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the CZ tweet count market dashboard tracks the current odds of various outcomes for the total number of tweets posted by Changpeng Zhao (CZ) between September 14th and September 21st, 2026. You can view the implied probabilities, price history, and 24-hour trading volume – currently at $0 – directly on the page. The total volume for this market is $3. This allows traders to see how the market is reacting to news and information related to CZ and his social media activity.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of factors than traditional analysis, incorporating real-time information and diverse perspectives. While analysts may focus on specific fundamental indicators, the wisdom of the crowd captured in this market can sometimes anticipate events or assess probabilities more accurately. It’s important to note that analyst forecasts are often point estimates, while this market provides a probability distribution across potential outcomes.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential tweet counts. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure will raise the price, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This creates a real-time, market-driven forecast of the eventual CZ tweet count.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of tweets posted by Changpeng Zhao between September 14th and September 21st, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a publicly available count of tweets from his official X (formerly Twitter) account during that specific timeframe. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the final tweet count, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on Predict.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any announcements regarding CZ’s planned activities during that week, changes in his social media strategy, or major news events involving him or Binance could all influence trading activity. Increased media attention, regulatory developments, or even unexpected technical issues affecting his account could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, general sentiment towards cryptocurrency and the broader market conditions could indirectly impact predictions regarding his tweet volume.