TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Number of CZ tweets Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026
predict

Number of CZ tweets Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026

Volume:
$2,092

Will CZ tweet between 11 and 15 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?

 - Predict

Will CZ tweet between 11 and 15 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026? - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 15, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Will CZ tweet between 11 and 15 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
$2,426
$1,763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Will CZ tweet between 26 and 30 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
$82
$152
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Will CZ tweet between 21 and 25 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
$180
$151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Will CZ tweet between 16 and 20 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
$257
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Will CZ tweet between 0 and 5 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
$863
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Will CZ tweet between 6 and 10 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
$967
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Will CZ tweet between 31 and 35 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
$98
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Will CZ tweet between 36 and 40 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
$52
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Will CZ tweet 41 or more times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Jun 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Jun 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Predict tracks real-time odds and historical price data for the event: will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) tweet between 16 and 20 times during the week of June 8th through June 15th, 2026? It displays the current implied probability of this outcome, 24-hour volume metrics at $1,759, and a price history chart showing how market sentiment has evolved. This single-venue view lets traders monitor conviction levels and liquidity as the resolution date approaches.

Prediction market odds on Predict reflect aggregate trader belief about CZ's tweet frequency during that specific week. Unlike spot prices in traditional markets, these odds represent a direct probability estimate rather than a price discovery mechanism. Comparing to analyst forecasts or historical tweet-volume baselines can reveal whether the market is pricing in elevated activity (perhaps due to regulatory news or major announcements) or expecting a quieter period. The market odds serve as a consensus expectation distinct from real-time market prices.

On Predict, this event is priced as a binary or categorical outcome market where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to the 16–20 tweet range outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; higher prices indicate stronger confidence in that outcome occurring. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether CZ will tweet in that frequency band during the June 8–15 window. Volume and liquidity on Predict determine how easily positions can be entered or exited.

The market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by counting the total number of tweets posted by CZ's verified account during the June 8th through June 15th, 2026 period. If the count falls between 16 and 20 inclusive, the affirmative outcome wins; otherwise, the negative outcome prevails. The final tweet count is verified against CZ's public Twitter record at the time of settlement.

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting Binance or the broader crypto sector, which typically prompt CZ to communicate with the community. Product launches, exchange updates, or responses to market volatility could increase his tweet frequency. Conversely, periods of relative calm or CZ's reduced social media activity would lower expectations. Macro crypto events—such as Bitcoin price swings, SEC actions, or competing exchange news—often correlate with elevated commentary. Traders monitor CZ's historical tweet patterns and upcoming industry events to adjust their positions.