TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Number of CZ tweets Jun 22nd - Jun 29th 2026
predict

Number of CZ tweets Jun 22nd - Jun 29th 2026

Volume:
$4,148

41+

 - Predict

41+ - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

41+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$2,861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

26-30

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$1,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

21-25

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$214
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

6-10

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

16-20

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

11-15

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

0-5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

36-40

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

31-35

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Jun 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Jun 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

The CZ tweet volume market on Predict tracks real-time odds and historical price movement for a binary outcome: whether Changpeng Zhao will post between 11 and 15 tweets during the week of June 22–29, 2026. The dashboard displays current implied probability, 24-hour trading volume via $205, and a complete price history so traders can monitor how sentiment shifts as the event window approaches. This market captures trader conviction about CZ's social media activity during a specific seven-day period.

Prediction markets like this one aggregate distributed trader beliefs into a single probability estimate, whereas traditional analyst forecasts rely on expert opinion or historical models. This market's odds reflect real-money incentives—traders who misjudge CZ's tweeting frequency face direct financial loss. While analysts might publish point estimates based on past patterns, this market continuously reprices as new information emerges, making it a dynamic alternative to static forecasts. The two approaches often diverge when unexpected events or behavioral shifts occur.

On Predict, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability for the 11–15 tweet range reflects the balance of buy and sell orders at any given moment. As traders deposit capital and adjust their positions, the price adjusts in real time. Shares in the winning outcome pay out at full value once the market resolves, creating a direct link between trader conviction and the final odds.

This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the seven-day observation window closes and CZ's tweet count can be verified. The outcome is determined by counting all tweets posted from the account during June 22–29, 2026, with the result confirmed against credible public sources. Traders who backed the 11–15 range receive full payout if the final count falls within that band; all other positions resolve to zero. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the window's end.

Major shifts in this market could stem from CZ's public statements about his social media plans, regulatory announcements affecting his communication strategy, or significant crypto market events that might prompt urgent commentary. Unexpected personal circumstances, platform policy changes, or trending topics in the crypto space could all influence his tweeting frequency. Historical patterns of his activity during similar periods also inform trader positioning. As the June 22 start date approaches, any news tied to Binance or broader industry developments may trigger repricing.