TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 12:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Jun 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Prediction market odds on Predict reflect traders' collective expectations about CZ's tweet volume during June 1st–8th, 2026, based on historical posting patterns and current market sentiment. Unlike spot price expectations, which respond to real-time asset valuations, these odds are anchored to a discrete, verifiable outcome that will resolve at a fixed future date. Comparing market-implied probabilities to analyst forecasts or social media trend analysis can reveal whether traders are pricing in higher or lower activity than historical baselines suggest.
On Predict, the Number of CZ tweets Jun 1st - Jun 8th 2026 is priced as a binary or categorical outcome contract reflecting the probability that CZ will tweet within a specified range during the June 1st–8th window. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with the price of each share directly corresponding to the implied probability. Higher prices indicate stronger market conviction that an outcome will occur. Liquidity and order flow on Predict determine how efficiently prices adjust as new information about CZ's social media habits or upcoming events emerges.
Key catalysts include major crypto market events, regulatory announcements, or Binance corporate developments that may prompt CZ to increase or decrease social media engagement. Personal or health-related factors, travel schedules, or shifts in CZ's communication strategy could also influence tweet frequency. Historical patterns show CZ's activity spikes during market volatility, exchange updates, or responses to industry criticism. Traders monitor his recent posting cadence, upcoming conference appearances, and broader sentiment in the crypto community to adjust their probability estimates leading up to the June 8th resolution.