TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 12:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Jul 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Jul 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from traders actively positioning on this market, whereas traditional analyst forecasts rely on expert opinion and historical models. Markets often incorporate breaking news and sentiment shifts faster than published research, making them a complementary signal to formal predictions. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's collective judgment diverges from expert consensus—useful context for understanding which factors traders are pricing in most heavily.
On Predict, traders buy and sell shares representing different tweet-count outcomes, with prices reflecting the implied probability of each range. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Share prices move continuously as new orders arrive, allowing the market to discover real-time consensus on how many tweets CZ will post during the specified week. Higher prices signal stronger trader conviction in that outcome; lower prices indicate skepticism. The spread between bid and ask prices reflects liquidity and uncertainty at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, after the observation period closes. The outcome is determined by counting verified tweets posted by CZ during July 20–27, 2026, and matching that total to the outcome range selected at market creation. Once the final count is confirmed against credible public sources, the winning shares are paid out and losing shares expire worthless. Traders should monitor for any official announcements from Predict regarding exact resolution timing and data sources.
Major catalysts include announcements from CZ or his organization that might affect his social media activity, platform policy changes, or significant market developments in crypto or finance that could prompt increased commentary. Unexpected downtime or account issues could also shift expectations. Early tweet counts released during the week may trigger repricing as traders gain visibility into actual behavior. Shifts in CZ's communication strategy or major news cycles could drive volatility, making real-time monitoring essential for active traders in this market.