TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in a specific U.S. state over a single day. It reflects how analysts and consumers might anticipate immediate changes in fuel pricing influenced by regional supply dynamics, seasonal demand shifts, or unexpected disruptions. The outcome depends on a single day's average price measurement against predefined thresholds.
All markets resolve based on the average regular gas price in North Carolina on October 4, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from $4.0000 to $4.0800. If the recorded average price exceeds a market's specific threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Thresholds are strictly incremental, meaning higher-priced markets will only resolve to Yes if prices surpass their respective, higher values. The resolution hinges entirely on AAA's official reporting for that exact date, with no adjustments for subsequent data revisions or alternative data sources.