TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner
polymarket

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Volume:
$65,377

Adam Hamawy

 - Polymarket

Adam Hamawy - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Adam Hamawy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.2¢
N/A
$14,539
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Susan Altman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tennille R. McCoy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,358
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Michael Anderson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elijah Dixon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,820
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyle Little

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Adrian Mapp

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Raymond Heck

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,694
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brad Cohen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Matthew Adams

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,416
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person F

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person M

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person O

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person S

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person T

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person H

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person K

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person P

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person R

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person W

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person Y

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person Z

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will secure the Democratic Party nomination to represent New Jersey's 12th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections. On Polymarket, Adam Hamawy holds 84.5% probability of winning the nomination, with Susan Altman at 6.5%. Resolution will be determined by official Democratic Party sources, including democrats.org, based on the outcome of the primary election scheduled for June 2, 2026. Watch the primary vote on June 2, 2026, for the definitive result.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling averages because markets incorporate real-money incentives and forward-looking expectations beyond snapshot surveys. While polls measure voter preferences at a single moment, prediction markets reflect traders' assessments of actual primary outcomes, including factors like candidate momentum, fundraising, and ground organization. The NJ-12 race shows active trading with $65,377 in total volume, suggesting market participants are pricing in dynamics that may not yet appear in public polls. Comparing market odds to recent polling can reveal whether traders expect the race to tighten, shift, or remain stable through election day.

The NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, following the New Jersey Democratic primary election. The outcome is determined by the official results announced by New Jersey election authorities for the 12th congressional district Democratic primary. The candidate who receives the most votes and secures the Democratic nomination will be designated the winner. Resolution typically occurs within days of the primary election once all votes are counted and certified by state officials. Traders should monitor official election announcements and news coverage for confirmation of results.

Key catalysts for NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner odds include major candidate endorsements from state and national Democratic figures, campaign finance disclosures showing fundraising strength, debate performances and media coverage, and shifts in public polling. Unexpected candidate withdrawals or entries could dramatically reshape the race. Local news coverage of candidate positions on issues affecting the district, voter turnout expectations, and last-minute campaign developments all influence market pricing. Traders actively respond to these signals, adjusting positions as new information emerges. The race remains dynamic through Jun 2, 2026, with odds reflecting evolving assessments of each candidate's viability and electability.