TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which candidate will secure the Democratic Party nomination to represent New Jersey's 12th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections. On Polymarket, Adam Hamawy holds 84.5% probability of winning the nomination, with Susan Altman at 6.5%. Resolution will be determined by official Democratic Party sources, including democrats.org, based on the outcome of the primary election scheduled for June 2, 2026. Watch the primary vote on June 2, 2026, for the definitive result.
The NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, following the New Jersey Democratic primary election. The outcome is determined by the official results announced by New Jersey election authorities for the 12th congressional district Democratic primary. The candidate who receives the most votes and secures the Democratic nomination will be designated the winner. Resolution typically occurs within days of the primary election once all votes are counted and certified by state officials. Traders should monitor official election announcements and news coverage for confirmation of results.
Key catalysts for NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner odds include major candidate endorsements from state and national Democratic figures, campaign finance disclosures showing fundraising strength, debate performances and media coverage, and shifts in public polling. Unexpected candidate withdrawals or entries could dramatically reshape the race. Local news coverage of candidate positions on issues affecting the district, voter turnout expectations, and last-minute campaign developments all influence market pricing. Traders actively respond to these signals, adjusting positions as new information emerges. The race remains dynamic through Jun 2, 2026, with odds reflecting evolving assessments of each candidate's viability and electability.