TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 10:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which candidate will secure the Democratic Party nomination to represent New Jersey's 10th congressional district in the 2026 House election. On Kalshi, LaMonica McIver commands 97.0% probability as the leading contender, while Lawrence Poster holds 10.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Democratic Party nomination results. Watch the 2026 general election on November 3rd to confirm the nominee's path forward.
The NJ-10 Democratic nominee market resolves on Nov 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official outcome of the Democratic nomination process for New Jersey's 10th congressional district. The market will settle based on who is certified as the Democratic nominee by the relevant state and party authorities. Traders should monitor official announcements from the New Jersey Democratic Party and election officials as the nomination date approaches to understand the exact criteria and timing that will trigger final settlement.
Key catalysts for NJ-10 Democratic nominee odds include endorsements from party leaders, union backing, and high-profile political figures. Campaign fundraising reports and spending announcements signal candidate viability and can shift trader expectations. Debate performances, media coverage, and grassroots organizing metrics influence market sentiment. Local polling releases, primary election results in neighboring districts, and shifts in voter registration data may also move prices. Unexpected candidate withdrawals, scandals, or strategic alliance announcements can trigger sharp repricing. Traders should monitor New Jersey political news, campaign announcements, and Democratic Party developments closely through the Nov 3, 2026 resolution date.