TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
NJ-09 Republican Primary Winner
polymarket

NJ-09 Republican Primary Winner

Volume:
$1,898

Rosie Pino

 - Polymarket

Rosie Pino - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Rosie Pino

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2.1¢
N/A
$1,014
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tiffany Burress

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
16.2¢
N/A
$884
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will secure the Republican Party's nomination to represent New Jersey's 9th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections. On Polymarket, Rosie Pino leads at 77.0%, with Tiffany Burress at 24.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Republican sources including the RNC, with the Republican primary scheduled for June 2, 2026. Watch the primary election results on June 2, 2026, to see which candidate emerges as the party's official nominee.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling due to traders' forward-looking bets and real-time information incorporation. While polls capture voter sentiment at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate continuous financial incentives for accuracy. For the NJ-09 Republican primary, market participants may price in campaign momentum, donor activity, and endorsement shifts that polls lag in reflecting. Comparing Polymarket odds to recent New Jersey primary polling can reveal whether markets are pricing in expectations beyond current survey data.

The NJ-09 Republican Primary Winner market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of New Jersey's Republican primary election for the 9th congressional district. The market will settle based on which candidate wins the Republican nomination and advances to the general election. Traders should monitor official state election results and candidate announcements as the primary date approaches to assess their positions.

Key catalysts for NJ-09 Republican primary odds include candidate endorsements from state and national Republican figures, campaign spending announcements, debate performances, and local media coverage. Candidate withdrawals or new entrants would significantly shift market prices. Polling releases showing momentum changes, fundraising reports, and grassroots organizing updates can trigger trader repositioning. National political developments affecting the Republican Party may also influence district-level sentiment. Watch for campaign events, voter registration data, and early voting patterns as Jun 2, 2026 approaches.