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$147.6b

24H VOL:

$156,130,290

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2,799,919,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,782,923,786

501,315

Markets across

37,757

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,847

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

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62%

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Next Press Secretary announced by...?
predict
polymarket

Next Press Secretary announced by...?

Oct 16, 2026, 2:54 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$745,515
Volume 24h:
$10,331
72%
Liquidity:
$347,318
9%
Open interest:
$163,078N/A

December 31

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?

60%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 61¢ buys you 164 shares | Odds: 60% Total Payout: $164 | Net Profit: $64 Multiplier: 1.64x | ROI: 64% High Projected APY: 1,266% 68 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

December 31

Trade
60%
Yes 61¢No 41¢
2¢
$166,331
$15,651
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

December 31

Trade
60%
Yes 60¢No 41¢
1¢
$46,436
$229,817
0.8%
2,589%
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
59.5%
Yes 60.5¢No 41¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

November 30

Trade
33%
2%
Yes 34¢No 68¢
2¢
$52,677
$215,970
2%
4,028%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
predict

November 30

Trade
33%
1%
Yes 35¢No 69¢
4¢
$23,158
$2,890
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
33%
Yes 34.5¢No 68.5¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
predict

October 31

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
$7,681
$1,508
1%
N/A
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

October 31

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 4.4¢No 95.7¢
0.1¢
$51,035
$279,679
2%
2,593%
N/A
1w 22h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.4%
Yes 4.7¢No 95.9¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump or his administration will announce a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia by a specific date. Currently, the consensus probability that a new Press Secretary will be announced by December 31, 2026 is 60.0%, with a 33.5% probability that an announcement will occur by November 30, 2026. This aggregate view combines data from Predict and Polymarket, and will be resolved based on official information from the Trump administration and a consensus of credible reporting. Keep an eye on January 1, 2027, as this is the date by which an announcement would need to occur for the leading outcome to resolve positively.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize identical resolution criteria regarding the announcement of a permanent replacement for Katie Zacharia, excluding interim appointments, and rely on similar resolution sources.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the Trump administration; consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is triggered by an official announcement of a new White House Press Secretary.
  • Interim or acting appointments do not qualify as resolution events.
  • The timing of the announcement, relative to the specified date, determines the market outcome.
  • The start date of service is irrelevant; only the announcement matters.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Ambiguous Announcement: If the announcement is unclear or ambiguous, a consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine if a qualified announcement has been made.
  • Withdrawal of Nomination: If a nominee is announced but subsequently withdraws before officially assuming the role, the market will resolve to 'Yes' based on the initial announcement.
Timing: Resolution will occur upon the official announcement by the Trump administration, or upon a consensus of credible reporting if official information is unavailable, up to and including 11:59 PM ET on the specified date.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of who will be announced as the next White House Press Secretary. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $745,515, with $10,181 traded in the last 24 hours, indicating significant interest in this market. The consensus view, as reflected by trading activity, suggests a strong expectation for a decision to be made relatively soon. This dashboard provides a unique view of public prediction on the timing and identity of the next individual to fill this key role, offering a combined perspective from multiple prediction markets focused on the next White House Press Secretary.

Prediction market odds often provide a different perspective than traditional polling. While polls capture stated preferences, this market reflects what individuals are willing to *stake* on, offering a measure of conviction. Polling data can be susceptible to biases and inaccuracies, whereas the financial incentive in a prediction market encourages more honest and informed predictions. It’s important to note that this market isn’t directly tied to any specific poll, but rather aggregates the collective intelligence of traders anticipating the announcement of the next White House Press Secretary.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can occur due to variations in trader demographics, market liquidity, and differing opinions on the potential candidates. Polymarket currently favors Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? at 59.5%, while Predict leans toward Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? at 60.0%, demonstrating divergent expectations. These differences can also stem from varying risk appetites among traders on each platform and the specific incentives offered. The spread of 0.5 between the two platforms reflects these nuanced perspectives on the timing and selection process for the next White House Press Secretary.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official announcement of the next White House Press Secretary by the White House. The market will determine which outcome—the individual named to the position—is the correct one based on publicly available information. Trading will cease once a clear announcement is made, and the winning outcome will be declared based on this official confirmation.

Several events could significantly impact this market. Any credible reporting about potential candidates being considered, or internal White House discussions regarding the role, would likely cause price fluctuations. Major political events, such as changes in the administration’s agenda or unexpected resignations of key staff, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, public statements from individuals potentially under consideration, or endorsements from influential figures, could move the odds. Monitoring news cycles and political commentary will be crucial for understanding shifts in this market.