TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Adrienn Laczó
- Kalshi
Adrienn Laczó - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 23, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Aug 23, 12:47 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This set of contracts tracks the potential for various individuals to assume the presidency of Hungary in a formal, non-temporary capacity before a specific future date. Each contract focuses on a different candidate, with resolution dependent on their official appointment as president.
Kalshi
These contracts resolve positively if the specified individual formally assumes the presidency of Hungary in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-temporary capacity before January 1, 2027, and is the first person to do so after the contract's issuance. The current officeholder at issuance is excluded from consideration. Temporary roles such as acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, or pro tempore capacities do not meet the criteria for resolution. The determination of a formal hold must align with official designations from the governing body or organization responsible for the presidency.
Frequently asked questions
This market often reflects a more immediate trader sentiment compared to slower-moving analyst forecasts. While analysts may weigh long-term policy impacts and historical trends, traders react quickly to breaking news, polling shifts, and campaign momentum. The gap between this market’s implied probabilities and analyst predictions can signal emerging trends or market overreactions worth examining.
This market resolves around Jan 8, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the election result is officially declared and verifiable from credible public sources. The final vote count and official announcement will settle all contracts, reflecting the actual winner of the Hungarian presidency as reported by authoritative news outlets and government records.
Key events such as opinion polls, debates, economic announcements, and major endorsements can shift this market. Any change in voter sentiment, campaign developments, or geopolitical factors influencing Hungarian politics may cause traders to adjust their positions. High trading volume often follows breaking news, so staying informed on political developments is essential for tracking market movement.
