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420,368

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Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
polymarket

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Volume:
$135,144

October 31

 - Polymarket

October 31 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 4:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

October 31

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,787
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

November 30

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,807
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 4h
Yes
polymarket

October 26

View
100%
97%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,065
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

October 30

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

October 29

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

October 28

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,404
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

October 27

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,843
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

September 30

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

October 23

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

August 31

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$447
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the OpenAI GPT Terra release market dashboard displays real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $27,814. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of different release scenarios, offering a visual snapshot of market sentiment and activity for the OpenAI GPT Terra release market.

On Polymarket, the current odds reflect trader sentiment about the OpenAI GPT Terra release timeline. These odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, which may rely on different data sets or assumptions. Analysts typically publish their expectations through research reports, while this market updates in real time based on trading activity. The difference can highlight market momentum or emerging signals not yet reflected in formal analyses.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders continuously adjust the price based on their expectations for when the next OpenAI GPT Terra model will be released. The current top outcome’s implied probability shows what the market thinks is most likely. Volume of $27,814 over the last 24 hours indicates how actively participants are trading. Prices shift with new information, such as technical updates or executive statements from OpenAI.

This market resolves around Dec 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on an official announcement or confirmed launch date from OpenAI. Traders should watch for press releases, product demos, or statements from company leadership that clearly indicate the release timing for the next GPT Terra model.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key events include official announcements from OpenAI about roadmap updates, developer conferences where new models might be previewed, or leaks from trusted industry sources. Economic factors, such as funding announcements or partnerships, may also influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected delays or accelerated timelines would likely cause rapid price adjustments on Polymarket as participants reassess their expectations.