TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Science and Technology
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?
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Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

Volume:
$52,684

September 22

 - Polymarket

September 22 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 4:19 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

September 22

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

September 30

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,215
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 8m
Yes
polymarket

November 30

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,391
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

September 24

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,392
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

October 31

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,907
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

September 27

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

September 23

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,798
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

August 31

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$823
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the OpenAI GPT Sol release market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the next OpenAI GPT Sol release market, alongside 24-hour volume of $41,212. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of different release scenarios, offering a live snapshot of market sentiment and activity for this technology event.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about the timing and details of the next OpenAI GPT Sol release. While analysts may offer detailed timelines or feature predictions based on technical roadmaps, prediction market prices capture a broader, real-time consensus that can shift quickly with new rumors, tech demos, or competitive announcements.

This market resolves around Dec 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will depend on official announcements from OpenAI regarding the release date, naming, and public availability of the next GPT Sol model, and will be settled based on widely reported facts.

Key signals that could shift this market include official OpenAI developer updates, leaked timelines from trusted sources, major competitor announcements affecting AI model roadmaps, and significant technical breakthroughs that accelerate or delay development. Each new hint about release timing or features may cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities.