TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in a specific U.S. state over a single day. It reflects how analysts and the public anticipate immediate changes in fuel pricing influenced by supply, demand, and local market conditions. The outcome depends on whether the state's average price meets or exceeds certain thresholds set for that day.
The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for New Mexico’s average regular gas price on October 13, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market corresponds to a distinct price threshold, ranging from $4.3550 to $4.4350. For any given threshold, if the verified average price is strictly greater than that threshold on the specified date, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same resolution date and data source, ensuring consistency across the event. The structure allows participants to assess the probability of the state’s gas price exceeding various levels, offering granular insight into anticipated price movements for that single day.