TOTAL VOLUME:
$124b
24H VOL:
$82,345,145
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,121,338,658
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,285,568,173
364,467
Markets across
33,191
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,073
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
41%
VS.
Kalshi:
59%
Above 130,000 gallons
- Kalshi
Above 130,000 gallons - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Jul 7, 2027
$
This event tracks New Hampshire's maple syrup output for the year 2027, focusing on whether production will exceed various high thresholds. The outcome depends on official USDA reports, reflecting agricultural performance influenced by climate and production practices. It provides insight into potential growth trends in regional specialty crop yields.
Multiple markets exist with sequential production thresholds starting at 130,000 gallons and increasing in 10,000-gallon increments up to 170,000 gallons. All markets resolve based solely on the final USDA NASS reported production volume for New Hampshire maple syrup in calendar year 2027. The underlying data source and measurement unit (gallons) remain consistent across all thresholds. Any reported production figure above the specified threshold for a given market triggers resolution to 'Yes,' while production at or below the threshold results in 'No.' The event collectively tests market expectations against official agricultural statistics for a regional specialty industry.
Currently, this market shows a top outcome with a chance of 86.0%, which can be compared to recent analyst forecasts from agricultural and economic research groups. Analysts often weigh factors like weather patterns, tree health, and production technology when making their projections, and these insights may align with or diverge from trader sentiment captured in this market.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price for this market based on their expectations of New Hampshire’s maple syrup output in 2027. The current pricing reflects a balance of supply-side and demand-side bets, with the top outcome priced at 86.0%. Volume of $30,108 indicates the level of interest and liquidity in the contract.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Official agricultural statistics and recognized industry sources will be used to determine the final production figure for New Hampshire maple syrup in 2027.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including winter weather patterns affecting sap yield, updates from state agricultural departments, changes in production techniques, and economic factors influencing market demand. Any major news from industry reports or recognized forecasting agencies may also cause price movements as traders adjust their expectations.