TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Chris Pappas, ≥25%
- Kalshi
Chris Pappas, ≥25% - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 17, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Sep 17, 11:12 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks how decisively Chris Pappas might win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary in 2026. It focuses on the difference between his vote share and his nearest competitor, with various thresholds defining different levels of victory magnitude.
Kalshi
These markets resolve based on the margin of victory Chris Pappas achieves in the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary. The margin is calculated as Pappas's vote share minus the vote share of the candidate finishing immediately behind him if he wins, or the vote share of the candidate finishing first if he loses. If Pappas ties for first place, the margin is zero. Each market corresponds to a specific margin threshold: if Pappas's margin meets or exceeds the stated percentage (5%, 10%, 15%, 20%, 25%, 30%, 35%, 40%, or 45%), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All margin ranges are inclusive of the lower bound and exclusive of the upper bound, with no rounding applied. Votes for Pappas are aggregated if he runs under multiple parties or listings.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official election results are verified against credible public sources. The final margin of victory will be calculated from certified ballots, determining whether the market settles for a narrow or wide margin based on the defined thresholds.
