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New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary: Karishma Manzur vote percent
kalshi

New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary: Karishma Manzur vote percent

Volume:
$56,216

At least 30%

 - Kalshi

At least 30% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 17, 11:13 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 30%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,437
N/A
N/A
$4,182
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least 25%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,633
N/A
N/A
$4,015
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least 35%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,025
N/A
N/A
$11,286
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

At least 40%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,701
N/A
N/A
$7,895
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

At least 45%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,248
N/A
N/A
$3,648
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

At least 50%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$993
N/A
N/A
$526
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

At least 55%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
$154
3mo 3d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the vote share achieved by a specific candidate in an upcoming state-level primary election. It focuses on determining whether the candidate's performance meets or exceeds various percentage thresholds of the total valid votes. The outcome depends solely on the officially certified election results.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the certified percentage of votes Karishma Manzur receives in the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary, calculated as (votes for Manzur ÷ total valid votes) × 100. Each market has a distinct threshold ranging from 25% to 55%, with a "Yes" outcome if Manzur's vote share falls within or exceeds that threshold. Resolution relies exclusively on official, certified results—preliminary counts, write-in interpretations, or provisional ballots do not count unless incorporated into the final certification. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator (Manzur's votes) and denominator (total valid votes). If the election uses ranked-choice or multi-round voting, the percentage is derived from the specified round or the first round if unspecified. All percentages are rounded to the declared decimal precision, and outcomes are determined only after full certification of results.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final vote tally from official New Hampshire election results will determine whether Karishma Manzur achieved the specified percentage. Resolution occurs after all ballots are counted and certified, ensuring an accurate reflection of the democratic process and public will in the primary.

Debates, endorsements, polling updates, and media coverage will heavily influence this market as the primary approaches. Strong debate performances by Karishma Manzur or a surge in polling could push prices higher, while controversies or missteps may cause rapid downward moves. Fundraising announcements, campaign milestones, and voter registration trends also serve as key catalysts, shaping trader expectations and shifting the implied odds ahead of Jan 1, 2027.