TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on June 2, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on June 2, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000).
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader expectations and often diverge from traditional analyst price targets and consensus estimates. While Wall Street analysts publish quarterly earnings forecasts and 12-month price targets, prediction markets distill near-term directional sentiment into live probabilities updated by active traders. Analyst forecasts tend to be longer-term and less granular; prediction markets capture immediate supply and demand for a specific outcome on a specific date. Comparing the two reveals whether professional consensus aligns with crowd-sourced market pricing on Netflix's June 2 direction.
On Polymarket, the Netflix Up or Down contract is priced as a binary outcome: traders buy or sell shares representing either an up or down close on June 2. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective bets of Polymarket participants, with the price of each outcome ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). Higher prices indicate stronger trader conviction. Volume and liquidity on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at quoted prices. As June 2 approaches, prices typically tighten as uncertainty resolves and new catalysts emerge.
Key catalysts for Netflix on June 2 include earnings announcements, subscriber growth reports, content performance metrics, and broader market sentiment shifts. Streaming competition, advertising revenue trends, and macroeconomic factors like interest rates and consumer spending also influence NFLX direction. Geopolitical events, tech sector rallies or selloffs, and Netflix-specific news—such as password-sharing policy changes or major content releases—can trigger sharp moves. Traders on Polymarket will reprice odds as these signals emerge, so monitoring Netflix news, earnings calendars, and market commentary in the days leading up to June 2 is essential for informed prediction market participation.