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Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 12?
polymarket

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 12?

Volume:
$3,093

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 12?

 - Polymarket

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 12? - Polymarket

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Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 PM EST

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Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 12?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,093
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on June 12, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on June 12, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on June 12, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on June 12, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the NFLX stock price movement market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price data for traders wagering on Netflix's stock direction on June 12. The interface displays current implied probabilities, allowing you to monitor how the market is pricing the likelihood of an up or down move. You can review trading activity and liquidity depth to understand market conviction. This dashboard gives you a live window into how prediction market participants are collectively assessing Netflix's near-term price action, updated continuously as new trades execute.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they aggregate real-money bets from diverse traders rather than relying on a single research team's model. While Wall Street analysts publish earnings estimates and 12-month price targets, this market reflects moment-to-moment sentiment about a specific 24-hour window. Analysts may focus on long-term fundamentals, whereas traders here are pricing short-term volatility, earnings surprises, or macroeconomic shocks. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in risks that consensus forecasts have underweighted or overlooked.

On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome—Netflix up or down—with prices ranging from $0 to $1. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's collective probability estimate: a share trading at $0.75 implies a 75% chance of that outcome. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, prices adjust in real time. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and your profit or loss is determined by the difference between your entry and exit price multiplied by your share quantity.

This market resolves around Jun 12, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once Netflix's stock price movement on that date is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether NFLX closes higher or lower than its opening price on June 12. Once the trading day concludes and the final price is established, the market settles automatically based on the verified result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.

Netflix earnings announcements, subscriber growth reports, or guidance revisions can trigger sharp repricing in this market. Broader market movements—interest rate decisions, tech sector rotations, or macroeconomic data—may also influence Netflix's intraday volatility. Streaming competition updates, content performance metrics, or management commentary on pricing power could shift trader conviction. Unexpected news about advertising revenue, password-sharing enforcement, or international expansion may drive last-minute positioning changes. Even technical factors like options expiry or index rebalancing on or near June 12 could amplify price swings and reshape market odds.