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Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 13?
polymarket

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 13?

Volume:
$922

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 13?

 - Polymarket

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 13? - Polymarket

1W

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Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 4:00 PM EST

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Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 13?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$922
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on July 13, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on July 13, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on July 13, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on July 13, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Netflix stock direction market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether NFLX will close higher or lower on July 13. The interface displays current market prices, historical price movements, and $901 in 24-hour volume to help traders monitor sentiment shifts. This dashboard lets you see how the crowd is pricing the likelihood of an up or down move, updated continuously as new trades flow in. You can use these signals to compare against your own outlook or to time entry and exit points throughout the trading window.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they reflect real-money bets rather than consensus estimates. While equity analysts publish earnings revisions and 12-month targets, this market distills crowd conviction into a single binary outcome for a specific date. Traders here are incentivized to price in intraday volatility, earnings surprises, and macroeconomic shocks that analysts may not fully capture in their longer-term models. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is pricing in near-term catalysts that Wall Street has overlooked or underweighted.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—up or down—has its own contract, and the price of each reflects the cumulative bets placed on it. When you buy a contract, you're wagering on that outcome; if it occurs, you receive the full payout. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens as volume increases, making it cheaper to trade in and out of positions during peak activity windows.

This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, once the trading day closes and the final stock price is confirmed. The outcome is determined by whether NFLX closes above or below its opening price on that date, verified against credible public sources. Traders who backed the correct direction receive their payout automatically; those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The resolution is binary and objective, leaving no room for dispute once the market data is published.

Earnings announcements, subscriber growth reports, and streaming competition updates are major catalysts that can shift odds sharply. Macroeconomic data—inflation reports, Fed rate decisions, or tech sector rotation—can also drive broad market moves that ripple into Netflix. Management commentary on password sharing, ad-tier adoption, or international expansion often triggers repricing. Competitor announcements, content wins, or production delays may influence sentiment. Real-time news flow and options market activity can amplify intraday swings, so monitoring financial media and earnings calendars is essential for staying ahead of this market's direction.