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Netflix (NFLX) closes week of Sep 14 at ___?
polymarket

How will Netflix close the week of Sep 14?

Volume:
$2,154

$70-$80

 - Polymarket

$70-$80 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 18, 2026

Closed: Sep 18, 4:39 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$70-$80

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

<$30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$30-$40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$336
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$110-$120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$268
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$90-$100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$100-$110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$40-$50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$50-$60

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$60-$70

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$80-$90

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Netflix stock market tracks the current odds of various outcomes related to the closing price of Netflix (NFLX) stock the week of September 14th. You’ll find a visual representation of the probabilities assigned to different price ranges, along with a price history chart showing how those probabilities have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $87, and the total market volume, which is $2,154. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and activity.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for Netflix. While analysts typically provide point estimates or ranges, this market allows traders to express a probability distribution over potential outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially incorporating information not yet captured in standard financial models. This market provides a real-time assessment of expectations, which may differ from more static analyst reports.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous, decentralized exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast of the Netflix stock price. The market’s depth and volume influence how quickly prices respond to news and events, offering a liquid and efficient way to express views on the future.

This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Netflix (NFLX) stock for the week of September 14th will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on the official closing price reported by a recognized financial data provider. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual market performance during the specified timeframe.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any major news regarding Netflix’s subscriber growth, financial performance, or content releases would likely have a substantial impact. Broader macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate changes or overall market sentiment, could also influence investor expectations. Unexpected announcements from competitors, regulatory changes affecting the streaming industry, or even significant social media trends related to Netflix’s shows could all contribute to shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.