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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

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30,277

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2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Natural gas price on September 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Natural gas price on September 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$465,144

Above $1.099

 - Kalshi

Above $1.099 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $1.099

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$54,404
N/A
N/A
$32,286
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $0.999

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$53,667
N/A
N/A
$27,467
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.099

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,077
N/A
N/A
$16,006
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.899

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,583
N/A
N/A
$16,393
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.199

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,374
N/A
N/A
$9,289
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.599

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,612
N/A
N/A
$11,237
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.599

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,982
N/A
N/A
$10,672
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.199

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,248
N/A
N/A
$7,934
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.699

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,325
N/A
N/A
$9,910
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.499

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,930
N/A
N/A
$7,976
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.299

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,149
N/A
N/A
$6,889
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.099

100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,877
N/A
N/A
$9,015
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.399

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,661
N/A
N/A
$3,576
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.899

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,564
N/A
N/A
$4,195
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.399

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,346
N/A
N/A
$3,412
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.499

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,248
N/A
N/A
$2,955
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.699

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,680
N/A
N/A
$2,680
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.799

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,579
N/A
N/A
$2,904
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.999

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,590
N/A
N/A
$1,505
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.999

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,373
N/A
N/A
$3,273
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.799

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,423
N/A
N/A
$1,929
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.199

100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,041
N/A
N/A
$871
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.299

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$422
N/A
N/A
$222
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4.099

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,386
N/A
N/A
$21,505
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $3.299

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,209
N/A
N/A
$21,461
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market tracks whether the closing price of natural gas will be above 1.099 USD/MMBtu on September 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is based on the 1-minute candlestick close price for natural gas, as reported by Kalshi. Traders should closely watch the Henry Hub Natural Gas futures contract leading up to September 25, 2026, as price movements in that contract will likely foreshadow the eventual settlement of this market.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas at 5:00 PM EDT on September 25, 2026. If the price exceeds the specified threshold for any individual market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest three decimal places. The closing price for the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading activity from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the exact time, the most recently available published data will be used to determine the resolution. All markets share these consistent secondary rules for data verification and rounding.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the natural gas price market tracks the current odds of the price being above or below 2.799 USD/MMBtu on September 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has priced in different possibilities over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $52,250, and the total volume traded to date, which is $465,144. This provides a snapshot of market activity and participant sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The settlement will be based on the closing price of natural gas on the specified date and time, as reported by a recognized exchange. This market focuses on whether the price will be above or below a specific threshold, providing a clear and objective resolution. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions and the final outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Unexpected changes in natural gas supply, such as disruptions to production or pipeline infrastructure, would likely have a substantial impact. Demand-side shocks, like unusually cold or hot weather patterns impacting heating or cooling needs, could also move the market. Geopolitical events affecting natural gas exporting countries, or shifts in energy policy, represent additional potential catalysts. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on natural gas prices is crucial for understanding market movements.