TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Natural gas price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Natural gas price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$99,374

Above $3.075

 - Kalshi

Above $3.075 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $3.075

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,046
N/A
N/A
$22,796
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.140

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,349
N/A
N/A
$419
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.205

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,320
N/A
N/A
$5,081
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.210

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,345
N/A
N/A
$1,750
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.200

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,808
N/A
N/A
$4,511
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.115

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,952
N/A
N/A
$702
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.165

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$970
N/A
N/A
$151
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.195

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$576
N/A
N/A
$555
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.190

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$437
N/A
N/A
$339
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.180

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$334
N/A
N/A
$328
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.060

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.185

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
$32
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.170

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
$82
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.160

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.150

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.145

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.135

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.175

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.155

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.130

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.030

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.215

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,565
N/A
N/A
$1,619
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $3.225

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,734
N/A
N/A
$2,379
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $3.345

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,848
N/A
N/A
$3,756
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $3.220

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,370
N/A
N/A
$1,996
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 100

Description

This event tracks the precise closing price of natural gas at a specific future moment, settling based on minute-by-minute market data. It tests participants' ability to predict short-term energy price movements at an exact point in time.

Kalshi

Multiple sequential markets resolve based on whether the closing price of a one-minute natural gas candlestick at 5:00 PM EDT on October 08, 2026 exceeds various dollar thresholds from $2.850 to $3.145. All markets share identical secondary rules: prices are rounded to three decimal places, with the candlestick close defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval (e.g., the 4:59 PM candlestick closes at 5:00 PM). If data for the exact timestamp is unavailable, the most recent published data determines resolution for all affected markets.