TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the precise closing price of natural gas at a specific future moment, resolving based on whether it exceeds various predetermined thresholds. It offers multiple parallel outcome possibilities tied to incremental price levels, allowing participants to speculate on different potential price points.
Multiple markets exist with sequentially higher price thresholds, each resolving to 'Yes' if the natural gas closing price at the specified timestamp exceeds its corresponding threshold. All markets share identical settlement mechanics: the price is determined from the 1-minute candlestick closing at 5:00 PM EDT on October 29, 2026, rounded to three decimal places. The recorded price represents the final trade price in the minute before the timestamp (i.e., the 4:59 PM candlestick). If data for the exact timestamp is unavailable, the most recent published price is used. This structure creates a series of binary outcomes reflecting different price levels, all contingent on the same underlying data point.