TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Natural gas price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Natural gas price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$54,503

Above $3.135

 - Kalshi

Above $3.135 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $3.135

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,678
N/A
N/A
$5,874
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.145

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,856
N/A
N/A
$2,552
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.140

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,903
N/A
N/A
$3,218
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.065

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,414
N/A
N/A
$1,414
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.130

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,298
N/A
N/A
$1,298
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.085

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$316
N/A
N/A
$316
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.075

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$253
N/A
N/A
$253
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.080

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$173
N/A
N/A
$173
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.050

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$152
N/A
N/A
$152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.040

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$145
N/A
N/A
$139
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.120

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$118
N/A
N/A
$118
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.125

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
$112
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.030

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
$92
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.025

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$90
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.055

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
$90
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.115

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$88
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.035

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.045

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.060

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
$70
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.070

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.110

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.105

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.100

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.095

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.150

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,670
N/A
N/A
$705
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 80

Description

This event tracks the precise closing price of natural gas at a specific future moment, settling based on minute-by-minute market data. It tests real-time price sensitivity against a series of escalating thresholds, with outcomes determined purely by whether the price crosses each defined level at the exact settlement timestamp.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the closing price of a 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on October 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. If the price exceeds any specified threshold (from $2.850 to $3.145 USD/MMBtu, in increments of $0.005), the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Prices are rounded to the nearest three decimal places, and the closing price represents the final trade price of the minute ending at 5:00 PM EDT. If data for the exact timestamp is unavailable, the most recent published price before that time is used for settlement.