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$277,138,640

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412,077

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Natural gas price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?
kalshi

Natural gas price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

Oct 30, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$6,113
Volume 24h:
$1,115
45%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$5,876
22%

Above $2.699

 - Kalshi

Above $2.699 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:15h:54m

Will the natural gas close price be above 2.699 USD/MMBtu on November 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

91%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 84¢ buys you 119 shares | Odds: 91% Total Payout: $119 | Net Profit: $19 Multiplier: 1.19x | ROI: 19% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $2.699

Trade
91%
Yes 84¢No 19¢
3¢
N/A
$36
0%
N/A
$36
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $2.799

Trade
67%
1%
Yes 65¢No 38¢
3¢
N/A
$390
11%
N/A
$332
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $2.899

Trade
42%
7%
Yes 43¢No 61¢
4¢
N/A
$5,325
22%
N/A
$5,213
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $2.999

Trade
25%
Yes 24¢No 79¢
3¢
N/A
$104
0%
N/A
$51
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $3.099

Trade
14%
2%
Yes 13¢No 90¢
3¢
N/A
$71
914%
N/A
$71
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $3.199

Trade
10%
Yes 7¢No 96¢
3¢
N/A
$35
0%
N/A
$21
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $3.299

Trade
7%
Yes 4¢No 99¢
3¢
N/A
$153
0%
N/A
$153
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $0.999

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $1.099

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $1.199

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $1.299

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $1.399

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $1.499

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $1.599

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $1.699

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $1.799

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $1.899

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $1.999

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $2.099

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $2.199

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $2.299

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $2.399

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $2.499

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $2.599

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
kalshi

Above $3.399

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 54m
Active
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event tracks the precise closing price of natural gas at a specific future moment, settling based on real-time market data. It examines whether the price exceeds various thresholds, offering multiple binary outcomes for different price levels at the exact close of a one-minute trading window.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on November 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST. For any market, if the closing price exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., $0.999, $1.099, etc.), that market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No". The settlement value is rounded to the nearest three decimal places. The closing price represents the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval—for instance, the 4:59 PM candlestick closes at 5:00 PM. If data for the specified timestamp is unavailable, the most recently published data is used for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the natural gas price market tracks the current odds of whether the price will be above a certain level on November 6, 2026. You’ll find the probability of the top outcome, currently at 91.0%, as well as a history of how those odds have changed over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour volume, which is currently $215, and the total volume traded in this market, which stands at $6,113. This provides a clear picture of market sentiment and activity.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts for natural gas prices. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than typical forecasts, potentially leading to different conclusions. It's common to see prediction markets outperform polls or expert opinions, as they reflect the collective wisdom of traders actively putting their capital at risk. Examining how this market evolves alongside published analyst reports can reveal interesting insights into differing perspectives on future price movements.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the future natural gas price. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of the event occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on discrepancies between their beliefs and the market price. The current market price indicates what traders, as a group, believe the likelihood is of the natural gas price being above the specified level at the given time.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of natural gas on November 6, 2026, at 5:00 PM EST will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'above' or 'below' outcome. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and publicly available price index for natural gas, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome for this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 6, 2026. Major geopolitical events, particularly those impacting natural gas supply from key producing regions, could cause substantial price swings. Unexpected changes in weather patterns, especially during peak demand seasons for heating or cooling, could also impact prices. Furthermore, shifts in economic conditions, such as changes in industrial activity or energy policy, could play a role. Any news related to natural gas storage levels, pipeline capacity, or regulatory decisions could also move this market.