TOTAL VOLUME:

$97.5b

24H VOL:

$262,573,226

24H TRANSACTIONS:

951,878,243

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,187,805,448

831,787

Markets across

15,132

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

964

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
Natural gas price on July 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Natural gas price on July 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Jul 15, 2026, 5:00 AM EST - Jul 16, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$204,306
Volume 24h:
$190,027N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$91,181
789%
PredictionHero
above $2.800 90%
kalshi
above $2.805 88%
kalshi
above $2.810 85%
kalshi
03:02 PM03:06 PM03:16 PM03:26 PM03:36 PM03:46 PM03:56 PM04:12 PM04:21 PM04:32 PM04:46 PM04:57 PM05:06 PM05:17 PM05:26 PM020406080100

Time left: 03h:31m:31s

Will the natural gas close price be above 2.800 USD/MMBtu on July 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

90%chance
Amount

$

$20

$50

$100

$500

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

These markets track the price of natural gas on July 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT using the NGDQ6 contract, with each market testing whether the price closes above a specific threshold ranging from $2.850 to $3.145 per MMBtu.

Kalshi

Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month for natural gas, rolling forward to the next contract 5 business days before the current contract's last trading day. The settlement contract is named after its delivery month per standard exchange symbology. The 1-minute candlestick close price at 5:00 PM EDT on July 16, 2026 is used for settlement, rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. The close price represents the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used. Each market resolves to Yes if the settlement price exceeds its designated threshold.

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