TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Natural gas price on July 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Natural gas price on July 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$318,854

above $2.885

 - Kalshi

above $2.885 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above $2.885

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,535
N/A
N/A
$6,971
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.890

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,378
N/A
N/A
$6,083
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.870

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,833
N/A
N/A
$4,562
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.855

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,689
N/A
N/A
$2,423
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.880

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,108
N/A
N/A
$2,813
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.850

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,497
N/A
N/A
$2,333
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.875

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,529
N/A
N/A
$2,331
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.860

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,205
N/A
N/A
$1,446
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.865

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,199
N/A
N/A
$2,996
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.825

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,429
N/A
N/A
$3,611
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.845

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,678
N/A
N/A
$1,632
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.830

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,948
N/A
N/A
$2,298
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.840

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,778
N/A
N/A
$1,103
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.805

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,266
N/A
N/A
$691
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.835

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,881
N/A
N/A
$1,151
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.820

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,628
N/A
N/A
$897
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.810

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,112
N/A
N/A
$524
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.815

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$808
N/A
N/A
$598
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$492
N/A
N/A
$492
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.895

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,160
N/A
N/A
$5,557
Settled
No
kalshi

above $2.905

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,605
N/A
N/A
$3,705
Settled
No
kalshi

above $2.945

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,057
N/A
N/A
$5,533
Settled
No
kalshi

above $2.920

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,611
N/A
N/A
$3,282
Settled
No
kalshi

above $2.910

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,537
N/A
N/A
$3,475
Settled
No
kalshi

above $2.900

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,080
N/A
N/A
$3,414
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 70

Description

These markets track the price of natural gas on July 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT using the NGDQ6 contract, with each market testing whether the price closes above a specific threshold ranging from $2.850 to $3.145 per MMBtu.

Kalshi

Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month for natural gas, rolling forward to the next contract 5 business days before the current contract's last trading day. The settlement contract is named after its delivery month per standard exchange symbology. The 1-minute candlestick close price at 5:00 PM EDT on July 16, 2026 is used for settlement, rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. The close price represents the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used. Each market resolves to Yes if the settlement price exceeds its designated threshold.