TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Natural gas price on July 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Natural gas price on July 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$114,169

above $2.920

 - Kalshi

above $2.920 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 15, 2026

Closed: Jul 15, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above $2.920

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,734
N/A
N/A
$3,524
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.915

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,033
N/A
N/A
$3,219
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.900

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,672
N/A
N/A
$1,635
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.910

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,583
N/A
N/A
$2,167
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.890

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,553
N/A
N/A
$1,240
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.905

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,504
N/A
N/A
$1,379
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.885

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,016
N/A
N/A
$928
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.850

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,752
N/A
N/A
$2,673
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.895

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,142
N/A
N/A
$879
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.860

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,002
N/A
N/A
$938
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.865

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,823
N/A
N/A
$875
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.855

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,791
N/A
N/A
$889
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.870

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,729
N/A
N/A
$1,142
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.875

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,455
N/A
N/A
$574
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.880

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,323
N/A
N/A
$1,261
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.925

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,406
N/A
N/A
$4,187
Settled
No
kalshi

above $2.930

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,068
N/A
N/A
$2,388
Settled
No
kalshi

above $2.935

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,401
N/A
N/A
$1,428
Settled
No
kalshi

above $2.940

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,497
N/A
N/A
$1,985
Settled
No
kalshi

above $2.945

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,764
N/A
N/A
$1,027
Settled
No
kalshi

above $3.095

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,634
N/A
N/A
$2,634
Settled
No
kalshi

above $2.950

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,147
N/A
N/A
$1,217
Settled
No
kalshi

above $2.960

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,098
N/A
N/A
$1,848
Settled
No
kalshi

above $2.955

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,020
N/A
N/A
$1,370
Settled
No
kalshi

above $3.135

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,911
N/A
N/A
$1,911
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks the natural gas futures price at a specific moment on July 15, 2026. Natural gas is a critical energy commodity whose price reflects supply conditions, seasonal demand, storage levels, and geopolitical factors. The settlement uses the NGDQ6 contract, which represents the nearest listed contract month with automatic rolling.

Kalshi

Settlement resolves based on the 1-minute candlestick close price for natural gas using the NGDQ6 contract on July 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, with prices ranging from above $2.850 to above $3.145 USD per MMBtu. The settlement contract rolls forward to the next contract month 5 business days before the current contract's last trading day, with contracts named after their delivery month per standard exchange symbology. The close price is defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. All settlement values are rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency at the designated time, the most recently available published data will be used for resolution. Each price threshold represents a separate binary outcome, with resolution to Yes if the close price exceeds the specified threshold.