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404,175

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Natural gas price on July 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Natural gas price on July 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$113,878

above $3.210

 - Kalshi

above $3.210 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 5:00 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above $3.210

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,415
N/A
N/A
$5,035
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.195

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,876
N/A
N/A
$4,371
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.190

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,327
N/A
N/A
$4,535
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.205

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,082
N/A
N/A
$2,743
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.185

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,954
N/A
N/A
$1,695
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,180
N/A
N/A
$1,363
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.075

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,834
N/A
N/A
$1,798
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.180

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,655
N/A
N/A
$839
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.085

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,210
N/A
N/A
$1,101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.080

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,152
N/A
N/A
$952
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.170

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$982
N/A
N/A
$706
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.175

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$922
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.090

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$826
N/A
N/A
$677
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.115

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$683
N/A
N/A
$408
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.145

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$648
N/A
N/A
$245
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.065

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$639
N/A
N/A
$385
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.915

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$634
N/A
N/A
$505
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.040

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$621
N/A
N/A
$333
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.925

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$616
N/A
N/A
$506
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$595
N/A
N/A
$196
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.920

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$572
N/A
N/A
$537
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.150

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$556
N/A
N/A
$543
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.140

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$540
N/A
N/A
$540
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3.005

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$464
N/A
N/A
$437
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $2.935

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
$403
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 90

Description

This event tracks the natural gas futures price at a specific moment on July 1, 2026. Natural gas is a critical energy commodity used for heating, electricity generation, and industrial processes. Price movements reflect supply conditions, weather patterns, storage levels, and global energy demand. The settlement uses the NGDQ6 contract, which represents the nearest active delivery month.

Kalshi

Settlement is determined by comparing the 1-minute candlestick close price for natural gas using the NGDQ6 contract on July 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT against multiple price thresholds ranging from $2.850 to $3.145 USD per MMBtu, each in $0.005 increments. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome. Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 5 business days before the current contract's last trading day. The settlement contract is named after its delivery month per standard exchange symbology. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. The close price for a candlestick timestamped at a given time reflects the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the natural gas price market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this commodity contract. The interface displays current market sentiment around where natural gas will trade on the specified settlement date, along with 24-hour volume and liquidity metrics. Traders use this data to monitor how the market is pricing in supply disruptions, seasonal demand shifts, storage levels, and macroeconomic factors. The dashboard provides a transparent view of collective forecasting activity, helping participants gauge whether the market expects prices to rise, fall, or remain stable heading into the resolution window.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and continuous price discovery rather than periodic published reports. While energy analysts issue quarterly or annual outlooks based on models and historical trends, this market aggregates live trader conviction through dynamic odds. Analysts may forecast a range; the market distills that into a single probability. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in risks—geopolitical events, weather patterns, or production changes—that analysts have not yet fully incorporated. This gap can signal emerging consensus or highlight where expert opinion and market participants disagree.

This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public reporting of natural gas prices. The resolution process verifies the actual price level on the specified date and time, ensuring all traders are held to the same factual standard. Once the event is verifiable from authoritative sources, the market settles and winnings are distributed to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Participants should monitor official energy data releases and market reports in the days leading up to resolution to assess final pricing.

Several catalysts can shift this market significantly before resolution. Production disruptions—hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, pipeline maintenance, or geopolitical tensions affecting supply—often trigger sharp price moves. Storage data releases showing lower-than-expected inventory can signal tightness and push prices higher. Demand signals, including weather forecasts that increase or decrease heating needs, also influence trader positioning. Macroeconomic news affecting industrial activity and liquefied natural gas export demand plays a role. Additionally, Federal Reserve policy announcements, crude oil price movements, and renewable energy generation trends can reshape expectations around natural gas demand and pricing dynamics heading into the settlement date.