TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Natural gas price on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Natural gas price on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$102,202

Above $2.925

 - Kalshi

Above $2.925 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $2.925

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,494
N/A
N/A
$2,098
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.835

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,477
N/A
N/A
$5,154
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.920

100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,504
N/A
N/A
$4,080
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.855

100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,085
N/A
N/A
$4,497
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.915

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,612
N/A
N/A
$2,136
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.900

100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,214
N/A
N/A
$1,059
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.865

100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,961
N/A
N/A
$1,089
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.820

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,747
N/A
N/A
$1,631
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.870

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,616
N/A
N/A
$1,328
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.885

100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,522
N/A
N/A
$1,883
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.910

100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,522
N/A
N/A
$1,610
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.825

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,343
N/A
N/A
$1,341
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.860

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,175
N/A
N/A
$905
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.880

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,777
N/A
N/A
$222
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.875

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,746
N/A
N/A
$424
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.905

100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,410
N/A
N/A
$1,154
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.895

100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,381
N/A
N/A
$689
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.890

100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$968
N/A
N/A
$453
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.840

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$819
N/A
N/A
$753
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.850

100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$465
N/A
N/A
$217
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.830

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$297
N/A
N/A
$282
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.845

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.810

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$192
N/A
N/A
$186
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.815

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
$159
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.805

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 70

Description

This set of markets tracks the precise closing price of natural gas at a specific moment, using tightly defined thresholds to determine outcomes. Each market examines whether the price exceeds a particular value, allowing for detailed analysis of price movements at that exact timestamp.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest three decimal places, with the close price defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval (e.g., the 4:59 PM candlestick closes at 5:00 PM). If data for the specified timestamp is unavailable, the most recently published data from the source agency is used to determine resolution. Each market has a unique threshold, and resolution to 'Yes' occurs only if the closing price exceeds the respective threshold.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader set of expectations and risk assessments from active traders. While analysts may publish target prices or trend analyses, the market price incorporates real-time betting activity and can diverge noticeably. Monitoring both sources helps identify potential mispricings or emerging consensus shifts.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders continuously submit bids and asks that determine the current implied probability. The platform’s pricing mechanism balances supply and demand, adjusting the odds as new information emerges or trading volume changes. This dynamic process ensures that the market price reflects the collective judgment of participants at any given moment.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to official settlements or widely accepted data sources to determine whether the market ends above or below the specified threshold. The exact timing follows the platform’s standard post-event verification process.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including energy demand surprises, supply disruptions, weather forecasts affecting storage levels, geopolitical developments influencing exports, and key economic data releases. Any event that changes the expected price path will likely prompt rapid adjustments in trading activity and odds on Kalshi as participants reassess their positions.