TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Natural gas price on August 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Natural gas price on August 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$112,023

Above $2.795

 - Kalshi

Above $2.795 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $2.795

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,082
N/A
N/A
$2,336
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.805

100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,425
N/A
N/A
$1,996
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.760

100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,354
N/A
N/A
$4,269
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.800

100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,545
N/A
N/A
$1,521
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.790

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,983
N/A
N/A
$1,827
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.750

100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,635
N/A
N/A
$2,337
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.785

100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,365
N/A
N/A
$1,541
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.765

100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,590
N/A
N/A
$1,525
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.780

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,583
N/A
N/A
$1,089
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.770

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,414
N/A
N/A
$1,230
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.755

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,098
N/A
N/A
$1,044
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.775

100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$925
N/A
N/A
$921
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.845

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,948
N/A
N/A
$5,863
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.850

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,373
N/A
N/A
$4,865
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.830

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,777
N/A
N/A
$3,295
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.810

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,281
N/A
N/A
$1,233
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.825

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,993
N/A
N/A
$2,629
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.920

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,292
N/A
N/A
$4,958
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.840

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,269
N/A
N/A
$2,264
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.835

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,485
N/A
N/A
$2,817
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.815

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,680
N/A
N/A
$829
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.970

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,674
N/A
N/A
$2,674
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.820

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,506
N/A
N/A
$1,359
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.965

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,369
N/A
N/A
$2,369
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.915

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,315
N/A
N/A
$1,631
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 80

Description

This market tracks the price of natural gas on a specific date and time, resolving based on whether the price exceeds various thresholds. It uses a standardized contract to ensure consistency and accuracy in settlement, reflecting real-world trading conditions for natural gas futures.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the closing price of the natural gas NGDV6 contract at 5:00 PM EDT on August 24, 2026. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward 5 business days before the current contract's last trading day. Prices are rounded to the nearest three decimal places, with the closing price defined as the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. If data is unavailable at the specified time, the most recent published data determines the outcome. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the price exceeds the threshold and 'No' if it does not.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the natural gas price market dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the outcome of this commodity event. You can also see the 24-hour volume of $93,277 and the total volume of $112,023 to gauge trader interest. This real-time view helps you monitor how market participants are positioning themselves ahead of the August 24, 2026 deadline.

On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the natural gas price market through continuous bidding and asking. The current probability reflects collective expectations about future supply-demand dynamics and energy policies. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Market depth and liquidity influence how swiftly prices adjust to new information, with volume of $112,023 indicating trader interest. The platform’s pricing mechanism aggregates these bids in real time, offering a transparent view of where participants believe the market is headed.

This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual natural gas price at the specified time and date, removing any ambiguity for participants.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 24, 2026. Changes in global energy demand, especially from major economies, often impact natural gas valuations. Supply-side events—such as pipeline openings, storage levels, or geopolitical tensions affecting export routes—can also create volatility. Weather forecasts influencing seasonal heating or cooling needs frequently drive short-term price swings. Meanwhile, policy decisions on subsidies, emissions regulations, or inventory releases may rebalance market expectations.