TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether the Nasdaq-100 index will close above 27399.99 on May 28, 2026 at 4pm EDT. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.5%. Resolution is determined by the official end-of-day Nasdaq-100 index value reported on May 28, 2026. Watch the market's movement as May 28, 2026 approaches, since the final settlement depends entirely on where the index closes at the 4pm EDT market close that day.
This market resolves on May 28, 2026, immediately following the close of U.S. equity markets on May 28, 2026 at 4pm EDT. The outcome is determined by the official Nasdaq-100 index price at that precise moment. Traders' positions settle based on whether the index level meets or exceeds the specified threshold. Resolution occurs automatically once the closing price is confirmed, with no manual intervention required.
Major catalysts affecting the Nasdaq-100 through May 28, 2026 include Federal Reserve policy decisions, inflation data, corporate earnings reports, and technology sector developments. Geopolitical events, interest rate expectations, and macroeconomic indicators can drive significant index movements. Company-specific news from mega-cap holdings like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia often influences the index. Market sentiment shifts, volatility spikes, and broader equity market rotations will all shape trader expectations leading up to the May 28 close, continuously adjusting odds on Kalshi.