TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Financials
Nasdaq-100 price on May 28, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
kalshi

Nasdaq-100 price on May 28, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Volume:
$48,629

30,200 or above

 - Kalshi

30,200 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 28, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

30,200 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,123
N/A
N/A
$12,860
Settled
Yes
kalshi

30,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,953
N/A
N/A
$887
Settled
Yes
kalshi

29,900 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,309
N/A
N/A
$1,946
Settled
Yes
kalshi

30,100 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,873
N/A
N/A
$1,410
Settled
Yes
kalshi

29,800 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,249
N/A
N/A
$1,537
Settled
Yes
kalshi

29,700 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$761
N/A
N/A
$256
Settled
Yes
kalshi

29,600 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
$337
Settled
Yes
kalshi

29,400 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

29,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

30,300 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,724
N/A
N/A
$791
Settled
No
kalshi

30,400 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$242
N/A
N/A
$169
Settled
No
kalshi

30,700 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

31,000 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
kalshi

30,800 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

30,900 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

30,500 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

30,600 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

27,000 or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

27,100 or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

27,200 or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

27,300 or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

27,400 or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

27,500 or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

27,600 or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

27,700 or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 60

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether the Nasdaq-100 index will close above 27399.99 on May 28, 2026 at 4pm EDT. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.5%. Resolution is determined by the official end-of-day Nasdaq-100 index value reported on May 28, 2026. Watch the market's movement as May 28, 2026 approaches, since the final settlement depends entirely on where the index closes at the 4pm EDT market close that day.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi represent crowdsourced expectations from active traders, while traditional analyst forecasts rely on institutional research and econometric models. Prediction markets often incorporate real-time information and aggregate dispersed knowledge, whereas analyst consensus tends to update less frequently. For the Nasdaq-100's May 28, 2026 close, comparing market-implied probabilities to published analyst price targets can reveal whether traders expect performance above or below consensus estimates. Both approaches offer valuable but distinct perspectives on future index levels.

This market resolves on May 28, 2026, immediately following the close of U.S. equity markets on May 28, 2026 at 4pm EDT. The outcome is determined by the official Nasdaq-100 index price at that precise moment. Traders' positions settle based on whether the index level meets or exceeds the specified threshold. Resolution occurs automatically once the closing price is confirmed, with no manual intervention required.

Major catalysts affecting the Nasdaq-100 through May 28, 2026 include Federal Reserve policy decisions, inflation data, corporate earnings reports, and technology sector developments. Geopolitical events, interest rate expectations, and macroeconomic indicators can drive significant index movements. Company-specific news from mega-cap holdings like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia often influences the index. Market sentiment shifts, volatility spikes, and broader equity market rotations will all shape trader expectations leading up to the May 28 close, continuously adjusting odds on Kalshi.