TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the Nasdaq 100 index will reach various price levels by the end of trading on June 02, 2026, with multiple thresholds established across a range spanning approximately 5,900 points. Each threshold represents a potential milestone for the index's performance over the specified timeframe. The market captures investor sentiment about the broad technology sector's valuation at a specific future date.
The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, after the Nasdaq-100 closes at 4pm EDT on June 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official closing price of the Nasdaq-100 index at that exact time. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout once the outcome is confirmed and settled on the platform. The binary structure means the contract either resolves to 100 cents (yes) or 0 cents (no) based on whether the index level meets the specified threshold.
Major catalysts for the Nasdaq-100 between now and June 2, 2026 include Federal Reserve policy decisions, inflation data, corporate earnings reports, and technology sector earnings surprises. Geopolitical developments, interest rate expectations, and macroeconomic indicators like employment reports can shift index sentiment. Individual mega-cap tech stock moves (Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Amazon) often drive Nasdaq-100 direction. Market-wide volatility spikes, credit conditions, and unexpected economic shocks could push the index above or below 30099.99. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust positions and implied probabilities.