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$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Nasdaq-100 price on Jun 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
kalshi

Nasdaq-100 price on Jun 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Volume:
$229,784

29,900 or above

 - Kalshi

29,900 or above - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 17, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

29,900 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,640
N/A
N/A
$945
Settled
Yes
kalshi

26,600 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$483
N/A
N/A
$483
Settled
Yes
kalshi

29,700 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
$450
Settled
Yes
kalshi

29,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
$345
Settled
Yes
kalshi

29,800 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
$277
Settled
Yes
kalshi

29,600 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$172
N/A
N/A
$167
Settled
Yes
kalshi

29,100 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
Yes
kalshi

28,600 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

28,700 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

28,800 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

28,900 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

29,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

30,400 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,962
N/A
N/A
$32,402
Settled
No
kalshi

30,100 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,189
N/A
N/A
$11,328
Settled
No
kalshi

30,300 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,741
N/A
N/A
$36,307
Settled
No
kalshi

30,000 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,167
N/A
N/A
$20,915
Settled
No
kalshi

30,200 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,434
N/A
N/A
$7,488
Settled
No
kalshi

30,500 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,868
N/A
N/A
$4,535
Settled
No
kalshi

30,600 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,477
N/A
N/A
$2,794
Settled
No
kalshi

30,700 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,211
N/A
N/A
$1,687
Settled
No
kalshi

30,800 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,952
N/A
N/A
$1,078
Settled
No
kalshi

30,900 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,146
N/A
N/A
$967
Settled
No
kalshi

31,000 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$542
N/A
N/A
$539
Settled
No
kalshi

31,100 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
$207
Settled
No
kalshi

31,200 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This market tracks the Nasdaq-100 index value at the close of trading on June 16, 2026. Traders can bet on whether the index will close above various price thresholds, ranging from 26,600 to 32,500. The market resolves based on the official end-of-day index value.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the end-of-day Nasdaq-100 index value on June 16, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold; if the index closes above that threshold (e.g., above 26,599.99 for the 26,600 strike), the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The market closes on June 16, 2026 and expires at the sooner of the first data release or one week after that date. Per the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.

Frequently asked questions

The Nasdaq-100 price prediction market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for traders wagering on where the index will close on June 16, 2026. The interface displays current market probability, 24-hour trading volume, and order book depth, allowing participants to monitor consensus sentiment as the event date approaches. This market aggregates collective forecasts from active traders, reflecting their expectations about tech-heavy index performance on that specific date and time.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they incorporate real-time trader conviction backed by financial stakes. While equity analysts publish price targets based on fundamental research and models, this market reflects dynamic crowd expectations updated continuously as new information emerges. Traders betting real capital tend to react faster to earnings surprises, macroeconomic shifts, and Fed policy changes, sometimes leading prediction markets to signal directional moves before consensus analyst revisions catch up.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers post bids and offers on specific price levels for the Nasdaq-100 close. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders compete to fill orders at their preferred odds, and the last-traded price reflects the most recent consensus between a buyer and seller. Liquidity and trading volume determine how tightly prices cluster around fair value, with wider spreads typical during low-activity periods.

This market resolves around Jun 16, 2026, once the Nasdaq-100 closing price for that date and time is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official index level published by Nasdaq at 4 p.m. EDT on June 16, 2026. Traders holding positions aligned with the actual close receive payouts, while those on the wrong side of the move lose their stake.

Major catalysts for this market include Federal Reserve policy announcements, corporate earnings reports from mega-cap tech firms, inflation data, and geopolitical developments affecting risk sentiment. Unexpected economic reports, central bank guidance shifts, or significant M&A activity in the technology sector can trigger sharp repricing. Market-wide corrections, changes in interest rate expectations, and earnings surprises from index heavyweights like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia will likely drive the largest intraday swings closer to the resolution date.