TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The Nasdaq 100 index will be measured at end-of-day on June 11, 2026, with various price thresholds tracked to assess the index's performance across a wide range of potential closing values.
Resolution is based on the end-of-day Nasdaq-100 index value on June 11, 2026. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, ranging from 26,000 to 31,900 in increments of 100 points. Outcomes resolve to Yes if the end-of-day index value exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., above 25,999.99 for the 26,000 level). The market will close on June 11, 2026 and expire at the sooner of the first release of the data or one week after June 11, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Nasdaq-100 price on Jun 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT is priced through binary or range-based contracts that allow traders to bet on specific price levels at market close on that date. Kalshi's order book aggregates buy and sell interest across outcome brackets, with prices reflecting the marginal trader's willingness to commit capital. Liquidity and implied probabilities update in real time as new orders flow in, enabling precise position entry and exit around your conviction level for the index's mid-year valuation.
The Nasdaq-100 price on Jun 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, after the official close of U.S. equity markets on that date. Resolution is determined by the verified closing price of the Nasdaq-100 index at 4pm EDT, sourced from authoritative financial data providers. Once the market close price is confirmed and published, the prediction market settles according to the outcome bracket or range in which the final price falls, and traders' positions are credited or debited accordingly.
Key catalysts for the Nasdaq-100 price on Jun 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT include Federal Reserve policy decisions and inflation data releases, which drive tech valuations through discount-rate expectations. Earnings surprises from mega-cap holdings like Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla can shift the index sharply. Geopolitical tensions, trade policy shifts, and semiconductor supply chain developments also influence the tech-heavy index. Macroeconomic surprises, credit market stress, and shifts in artificial intelligence sentiment represent additional wildcards that traders monitor closely heading into mid-2026.