Nasdaq-100 price on Jun 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Nasdaq-100 June 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT contract is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing different price ranges or point levels. Each outcome reflects the probability traders assign to that range closing at the specified time. Kalshi's pricing mechanism aggregates all buy and sell orders in real time, with the midpoint between bid and ask representing the market's current fair value estimate. Traders can enter limit or market orders to express their conviction on where the index will settle.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after the Nasdaq-100 closes at 4pm EDT on June 1, 2026. The outcome is determined by the official closing price of the Nasdaq-100 index published by Nasdaq at that time. Once the market closes and the final price is confirmed, the winning outcome is settled and traders receive payouts based on their positions. Resolution occurs shortly after the market snapshot is locked in, ensuring all traders have equal access to the same authoritative price data.

Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, and corporate earnings from mega-cap tech firms that dominate the Nasdaq-100. Geopolitical tensions, interest rate expectations, and shifts in AI adoption narratives can also drive significant moves. Economic surprises—employment reports, GDP revisions, or consumer spending data—often trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, individual mega-cap earnings misses or beats, regulatory actions against tech companies, and broad market risk-off events could reshape trader expectations for the index's June 1 close. Monitoring these signals helps traders adjust positions as new information emerges.