TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 5:28 AM EST
Polymarket
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of valid votes will determine which party secures the majority in the Murmansk Parliament. Official announcements from electoral authorities and reputable news outlets will serve as the primary sources for confirming the result and settling all positions.
Several key developments could shift probabilities in this market before Sep 21, 2026. Major local polling releases, especially those conducted closer to voters in Murmansk Oblast, will be closely watched. Any significant policy announcements, leadership changes, or scandals involving competing parties may also sway trader sentiment. Regional economic indicators or public events that influence voter sentiment could produce noticeable movement. Media coverage highlighting shifting voter preferences or campaign performance updates will likely drive volatility as Sep 21, 2026 approaches.