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Most popular AI this week
kalshi

Which AI will be most popular?

Volume:
$2,396

DeepSeek

 - Kalshi

DeepSeek - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

DeepSeek

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
$252
Settled
Yes
kalshi

OpenAI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,145
N/A
N/A
$1,144
Settled
No
kalshi

Tencent

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$516
N/A
N/A
$315
Settled
No
kalshi

Google

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
No
kalshi

Anthropic

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Xiaomi

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Z.ai

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks which artificial intelligence model's developer company garners the most usage during a specific week, reflecting public interest and adoption trends in the rapidly evolving AI landscape.

Kalshi

The event determines the winning company based on which single AI model, as listed on the OpenRouter Top Models chart, achieves the highest weekly token volume for the week of September 14, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific company, and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if that company’s model is ranked highest. If multiple companies tie for the top position, the publisher’s official tie-breaking methodology applies; if none exists, all tied companies share the highest rank, and each tied contract resolves to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. The resolution exclusively considers the token volume of individual models, not the aggregate volume across all models from a single company. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing body or entities involved, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the popular AI market tracks the current odds of various AI models being considered the most popular this week. You'll find the implied probability of each outcome, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $222, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which stands at $2,396. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on AI dominance.

Currently, it's important to note that this market represents the collective prediction of traders on Kalshi. Comparing these odds to those of traditional analyst forecasts reveals how public sentiment differs from expert opinion. If analysts widely believe a particular AI will lead, but this market shows lower probabilities for that AI, it suggests traders may have different information or a contrarian view. This discrepancy can be valuable for understanding the broader expectations surrounding the most popular AI this week, and identifying potential opportunities.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different AI models. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that AI being the most popular this week, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the most popular AI this week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on widely recognized metrics of AI popularity, such as usage statistics, media mentions, and social media engagement. The exact methodology for determining 'most popular' will be based on publicly available data and assessed at the time of resolution. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and settlement details on Kalshi following the resolution date.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements regarding new AI model releases, significant upgrades to existing models, or unexpected performance breakthroughs could all shift trader sentiment. Positive or negative press coverage, particularly regarding the ethical implications or practical applications of different AIs, could also play a role. Additionally, shifts in user adoption rates, as measured by downloads, active users, or API calls, could influence the perceived popularity of each AI and therefore move this market.