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Most popular AI this week
kalshi

Which AI will be most popular?

Volume:
$1,770

DeepSeek

 - Kalshi

DeepSeek - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

DeepSeek

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$769
N/A
N/A
$740
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Anthropic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
$458
Settled
No
kalshi

Google

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$293
N/A
N/A
$293
Settled
No
kalshi

Tencent

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Z.ai

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

OpenAI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Xiaomi

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks which artificial intelligence model from a specific company garners the most usage during a particular week, reflecting public interest and adoption trends in the rapidly evolving AI landscape. The outcome depends solely on usage metrics for a single week, offering insight into temporary popularity rather than long-term dominance.

Kalshi

The event determines the most popular AI model based on weekly usage metrics from OpenRouter's Top Models chart for the week of Oct 19, 2026. A company's market resolves to Yes only if its single model achieves the highest weekly token volume on that chart. Rankings are assessed using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if unavailable, tied entities share the highest rank, and contracts for tied candidates resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied parties, rounded down. All outcomes are derived exclusively from OpenRouter data for that specific week, with no consideration given to aggregate company volumes or broader performance metrics.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the popular AI market tracks the current odds of various artificial intelligence models being considered the most popular this week. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour volume, currently at $203. Total volume for this market is $1,770. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on which AI will dominate public attention.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many analyst forecasts regarding AI popularity. While some analysts emphasize established players, this market demonstrates a dynamic view, potentially factoring in emerging trends and public sentiment more rapidly. It’s common to see discrepancies between expert opinions and the wisdom of the crowd, as represented by the trading activity on Kalshi. This difference highlights the market's ability to incorporate diverse information and adjust expectations quickly.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of a specific AI being the most popular. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome, allowing traders to express their views and profit from correctly anticipating market sentiment. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand among traders.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the most popular AI model for the week is verifiable from credible public reporting. Popularity will be determined by a combination of factors such as media mentions, social media engagement, and usage statistics, as reported by reliable sources. The resolution will reflect which AI has captured the most public attention during that specific week, as assessed by these publicly available indicators.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major product releases from AI companies, unexpected breakthroughs in AI technology, or shifts in public discourse surrounding AI ethics and applications could all cause price fluctuations. Increased media coverage of a particular AI model, or endorsements from influential figures, would likely drive up its probability. Conversely, negative press or reports of technical issues could decrease an AI’s standing in this market, creating trading opportunities.