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406,422
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Closed: Sep 23, 4:39 PM EST
Polymarket
Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of seats won by each party will decide the winner, and the market will settle based on official and widely accepted sources. Timing depends on when authoritative news outlets and electoral commissions announce the certified results post-election.
Several key signals could influence this market before it resolves on Aug 1, 2027. Major developments such as campaign scandals, economic announcements, or shifts in voter sentiment might cause rapid changes in odds. Debates, policy releases, and public endorsements can also impact trader confidence. As the election date approaches, polling updates and media coverage will likely drive volatility. Any surprise events — like candidate withdrawals or coalition formations — could dramatically shift pricing, so traders will be watching closely for any news that might affect the outcome.