TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Science and Technology
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume:
$33,903

Above 2.1%

 - Kalshi

Above 2.1% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2.1%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,254
N/A
N/A
$10,254
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.0%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,578
N/A
N/A
$5,378
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 11.8%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,512
N/A
N/A
$3,512
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.1%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,802
N/A
N/A
$2,802
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.3%

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,684
N/A
N/A
$2,684
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.1%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,919
N/A
N/A
$1,919
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.9%

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,579
N/A
N/A
$1,579
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 14.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,540
N/A
N/A
$3,540
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 18.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,036
N/A
N/A
$2,012
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI development resources allocated to Moonshot AI through the Vercel platform on a specific date. It reflects potential trends in how leading research institutions prioritize different AI tools and infrastructure for their projects.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs on Oct 4, 2026, rounded to one decimal place. Kalshi will determine the outcome at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 5, 2026, using the updated chart value for that date. Each market has a specific threshold: if the measured share exceeds the threshold (2.1%, 3.0%, 4.1%, 5.3%, 6.9%, 9.1%, 11.8%, 14.9%, or 18.7% respectively), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with Vercel, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.