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2,984,028,936

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$1,885,293,300

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Moonshot AI share of spend on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

What will Moonshot AI share of spend be?

Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$467
Volume 24h:
$420
6,904%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$443
843%

Above 5.1%

 - Kalshi

Above 5.1% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 16h:08m:37s

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 5.1%

10%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 26¢ buys you 385 shares | Odds: 10% Total Payout: $385 | Net Profit: $285 Multiplier: 3.85x | ROI: 285% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 5.1%

Trade
10%
Yes 26¢No 95¢
21¢
N/A
$20
0%
N/A
$17
16h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 9.3%

Trade
2%
Yes 25¢No 99¢
24¢
N/A
$135
744%
N/A
$135
16h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 10.2%

Trade
11%
Yes 26¢No 100¢
26¢
N/A
$16
45%
N/A
$16
16h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 11.2%

Trade
10%
Yes 26¢No 100¢
26¢
N/A
$5
0%
N/A
$5
16h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 14.6%

Trade
8%
Yes 26¢No 100¢
26¢
N/A
$25
25%
N/A
$25
16h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 7.1%

Trade
1%
Yes 26¢No 100¢
26¢
N/A
$148
0%
N/A
$143
16h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 6.1%

Trade
1%
Yes 26¢No 100¢
26¢
N/A
$73
0%
N/A
$58
16h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 7.6%

Trade
1%
Yes 26¢No 100¢
26¢
N/A
$24
0%
N/A
$24
16h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 8.1%

Trade
1%
Yes 26¢No 100¢
26¢
N/A
$21
0%
N/A
$20
16h 8m
Active
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the potential adoption and financial commitment to Moonshot AI through Vercel within leading AI research institutions. It measures whether the proportion of spending allocated to this specific AI model via a key development platform exceeds various thresholds, reflecting shifts in strategic priorities among top labs.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across leading research labs for November 2, 2026, surpasses specified percentage thresholds. Resolution depends on the precise share value, rounded to one decimal place, as recorded on a designated chart at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026. Multiple threshold markets exist, each with a distinct percentage requirement for a 'Yes' outcome, allowing participants to bet on different levels of adoption intensity. All markets operate independently, with each threshold representing a separate betting opportunity based on the same underlying data point. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official connection with Vercel, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Moonshot AI spending market tracks the current odds of various outcomes for Moonshot AI’s share of spend with Vercel on November 2, 2026. You’ll find a price history showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $419. The total volume traded on this market so far is $467. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and see where the most activity is focused.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a different outlook than some traditional analyst forecasts. While many analysts predict a steady increase in AI spending across all major labs, this market reflects a more nuanced view on the specific allocation of that spend to Moonshot AI and Vercel. It’s important to note that analyst predictions are often based on broader trends and may not fully capture the dynamic shifts in the AI landscape that traders are pricing in here. This market provides a real-time assessment of probabilities based on collective intelligence.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome is Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 6.1%, though probabilities are constantly evolving based on trading activity.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the publicly reported share of spend allocated to Moonshot AI by Vercel as of November 2, 2026. This market reflects expectations about future events, and the final outcome will be determined by real-world data released after the resolution date. Traders should monitor news and announcements related to Moonshot AI and Vercel leading up to this date.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements regarding Moonshot AI’s partnerships, funding rounds, or technological breakthroughs would likely cause price fluctuations. Similarly, any significant changes in Vercel’s strategy or market position could move the market. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or shifts in investor sentiment, could also play a role. Unexpected news about competing AI labs could also influence traders’ assessments of Moonshot AI’s potential share of spend.