TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:28 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Monster Energy drink sales in August 2026 compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on whether sales growth meets or exceeds specific thresholds, reflecting consumer demand and market conditions for the brand during that period. The measurement is based on actual point-of-sale data collected through various retail channels.
All markets in this event series resolve based on the Carbon Arc Monster Energy Drinks Point of Sale Growth index for August 2026, with each market requiring the index to be above a specific percentage threshold (-8%, -4%, 0%, 4%, or 8%). The index measures year-over-year change in sales, where 100 indicates no change from the prior year, values above 100 show growth, and values below 100 show decline. Data comes from Carbon Arc's point-of-sale receipt panel, which tracks in-store and online purchases through receipt scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period last year. The panel updates daily. For all markets, resolution is based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc, and any corrections or revisions after settlement do not affect the outcome. Kalshi has no affiliation with the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader set of inputs, including trader sentiment and real-time data interpretations. While analysts may provide detailed reports based on historical trends and projections, the market price incorporates the collective guess of many participants, potentially leading to divergence if new information emerges that shifts trader perception differently from expert views.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent different possible sales growth outcomes. The current top outcome reflects the highest chance as assessed by market participants, with odds displayed as a percentage. Volume of $22,104 indicates the level of interest and liquidity in this market, allowing users to see how the market has priced the range of possible results.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final sales growth figure for Monster Energy in August will be compared against the market’s defined categories, and the matching contract will be settled based on publicly available data sources.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including monthly sales reports from Monster Energy, industry news about beverage trends, economic indicators affecting consumer spending, and any major marketing campaigns or product launches. Unexpected events such as supply chain disruptions or shifts in consumer preference may also cause rapid changes in trader sentiment and market pricing as new information becomes available.