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MO-08 Democratic nominee?
kalshi

MO-08 Democratic nominee?

Volume:
$12,992

Chris Reichard

 - Kalshi

Chris Reichard - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 10:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chris Reichard

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,032
N/A
N/A
$4,449
1mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

Frank A Barnitz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,960
N/A
N/A
$4,071
1mo 4d
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks which candidate will secure the Democratic Party nomination for Missouri's 8th congressional district House seat in 2026. Frank A Barnitz currently holds 75.0% probability of becoming the nominee, while Chris Reichard stands at 25.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official Democratic Party nomination outcome for the MO-08 race. Watch the 2026 general election on November 3rd, 2026, when the Democratic nominee's viability in the general contest will be tested.

Kalshi

The MO-08 Democratic nominee market resolves to Yes upon the official nomination of any qualifying candidate by the Democratic Party for the 2026 House election in Missouri's 8th Congressional District. Each candidate's nomination triggers a Yes resolution for their respective market outcome, reflecting the winner of the Democratic primary process for this seat.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional polling because markets incorporate real-money incentives and forward-looking expectations. While polls capture voter sentiment at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate information from traders betting on the actual outcome. For the MO-08 Democratic race, comparing market-implied probabilities to any available polling data reveals whether traders expect momentum shifts, candidate viability changes, or other factors that polls may not yet reflect.

The MO-08 Democratic nominee market resolves on Nov 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official Democratic nominee for Missouri's 8th congressional district, as confirmed through the nomination process. The market will settle once the nominee is formally designated, typically following primary elections or party convention procedures. Traders should monitor the official nomination timeline and any procedural changes that could affect when a winner is declared.

Key catalysts for the MO-08 Democratic nominee market include candidate announcements or withdrawals, primary election results, endorsements from party leaders, fundraising reports, and media coverage of candidate viability. Debate performances, polling shifts, and grassroots momentum can also drive significant price moves. Additionally, changes in the broader political environment, redistricting developments, or shifts in national Democratic strategy could influence trader expectations about which candidate is most likely to secure the nomination.